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Draghi’n the Line

Submitted by Atlas Indicators Investment Advisors on March 7th, 2019

 

Mario Draghi, the European Central Bank’s (ECB) President, surprised the world yesterday.  Growth and inflation targets are not being met in the euro-zone according to the central bank’s latest forecast.  Their projections now show growth reaching just 1.1 percent this year, falling from 1.7 percent in their prior prognostication.

 

Tags:
  • Central Bank
  • Draghi
  • ECB
  • OECD
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February 2019 Institute for Supply Management

Submitted by Atlas Indicators Investment Advisors on March 5th, 2019

America’s economy continued growing in February 2019 according to two indicators from the Institute for Supply Management.  Each month they survey purchasing managers from firms representing the manufacturing and services segments of the economy.  In this latest survey, each side was well above minimum levels associated with growth. 

 

Tags:
  • ISM
  • Manufacturing
  • Non-manufacturing
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February 2019 Institute for Supply Management

Submitted by Atlas Indicators Investment Advisors on March 5th, 2019

America’s economy continued growing in February 2019 according to two indicators from the Institute for Supply Management.  Each month they survey purchasing managers from firms representing the manufacturing and services segments of the economy.  In this latest survey, each side was well above minimum levels associated with growth. 

 

Tags:
  • ISM
  • Manufacturing
  • Non-manufacturing
  • Read more

December 2018 and some of January 2019 Income and Outlays

Submitted by Atlas Indicators Investment Advisors on March 5th, 2019

Echoes from the partial government shutdown persist.  Income and outlays data from the Bureau of Economic Analysis were delayed for December and incomplete for January, so they were released together in one report.  We have both income and spending to end the year, but just income data to start 2019.

 

Tags:
  • BEA
  • Income and Outlays
  • PCE
  • Read more

Q4 2018 GDP Initial Estimate

Submitted by Atlas Indicators Investment Advisors on March 5th, 2019

America’s output in the final quarter of last year was better than many anticipated.  A consensus estimate from Bloomberg was expecting the annualized rate of output to reach 2.2 percent, and the final calculation of the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta’s GDPNow forecast expected just 1.8 percent.  However, the earliest estimate suggests output increased by 2.6 percent to e

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​January 2019 Chicago Fed National Activity Index

Submitted by Atlas Indicators Investment Advisors on March 3rd, 2019

Economic growth slowed in January 2019 according to the latest data from the Chicago Fed National Activity Index (CFNAI).  This index of 85 components dipped to minus 0.43 from after hitting +0.05 in December 2018.  Since this indicator moves quite a bit each month, Atlas pay attention to the three-month moving average; it fell to 0.0 (a reading which indicates moderate growth) from 0

Tags:
  • CFNAI
  • Chicago Fed
  • Economy
  • Read more

Where’s the Fulcrum?

Submitted by Atlas Indicators Investment Advisors on March 1st, 2019

 

Monetary policies executed by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) are designed to fulfill our central bank’s dual mandate: full-employment and price stability.  What the heck do those terms mean? 

 

Tags:
  • Economy
  • Fed Funds Rate
  • Federal Reserve
  • Monetary Policy
  • Read more

January 2019 Existing Home Sales

Submitted by Atlas Indicators Investment Advisors on February 27th, 2019

Existing home sales suffered their third consecutive setback.  According to the National Association of Realtors (NAR), transactions fell 1.2 percent in January 2019 to 4.94 million units on a seasonally adjusted annualized basis; this is the worst reading since November 2015.

Tags:
  • Existing Home Sales
  • Freddie Mac
  • NAR
  • National Association of Realtors
  • Read more

December 2018 Durable Goods Orders

Submitted by Atlas Indicators Investment Advisors on February 26th, 2019

Here is another indicator delayed by the lapse in federal funding a couple of months ago.  However, the Census Bureau is confident the information collected was adequate to produce the report.  They went so far as to disclose at the top of the report that “…coverage rates were at or above normal levels for this release.”  So here we go!

 

Tags:
  • Census Bureau
  • Durable Goods Orders
  • Read more

January 2019 Industrial Production

Submitted by Atlas Indicators Investment Advisors on February 25th, 2019

Industrial production took a hit to start 2019 according to the latest release from the Federal Reserve.  Their indicator which covers everything physically made in America declined 0.6 percent in January.  This set back followed a downwardly revised tally of +0.1 percent (originally +0.3 percent) in December.  Not only was the monthly tally negative, but the trend decelerat

Tags:
  • Federal Reserve
  • Manufacturing
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