Business Cycle

The National Association for Business Economics (NABE) is a professional group of applied economists, strategists, and policy specialists who use economic analysis in business, finance, government, and academia. Each month, NABE publishes an economic outlook. The most recent edition, the November 2025 NABE Outlook Survey, suggests the U.S.

For many food is an art; for others, it’s an economic indicator.  When times are good, Americans spend on eating out instead of preparing less costly equivalents at home.  As the tide changes, diets tend to change.  Instead of frequenting venues with menus, consumers opt for more affordable, shelf-stable items like rice, pasta, beans, lentils, and oats, along with canned go

According to chiefexecutive.net, optimism remains stubbornly low in America’s C-Suites (the group of senior executives in a company whose titles typically start with "Chief”).  Each month they conduct America’s largest monthly poll of CEOs.

Since President Donald Trump announced new tariffs last Wednesday, global markets and economies have been in chaos.  As of this writing, the tariffs now include a blanket 10-percent duty on all trading partners and up to 145 percent for specific countries like China.  This has caused volatile moves in the markets.  U.S.

People like concrete explanations for phenomena.  For instance, virtually daily financial headlines are filled with reasons various markets behaved the way they did that day, up or down.  These explanations are more compelling to readers than something along the lines of  “buyers were more urgent than sellers today, so markets increased after the opposite was true yesterday

America's K-shaped economy continues to be a defining feature of our economic landscape in 2025, highlighting the stark contrast between the resilient upper echelons and the increasingly fragile lower segments of society.

Atlas likes to poke fun at the Federal Reserve from time to time because it employs so many PhDs yet doesn’t have complete mastery over how the economy behaves.  One only needs to think about the “transitory” period of inflation as an example of their limited power.  You may recall that Jerome Powell, Chair of the Federal Open Market Committee, used the term for mont

A person's daily life is influenced by a complex interplay of various cycles.

Goldilocks was tired and hungry when she came across the Bears’ home.  Wanting to catch up on some sleep, she first tried Papa Bear’s bed, but it was too hard.  Then she jumped into Mama Bear’s, but it was too soft.