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Economy

Business Cycle 

Submitted by Atlas Indicators Investment Advisors on December 3rd, 2020

Our economy oscillates irregularly between expansion or contraction.  It is often illustrated using a stylized symmetric sine wave, demonstrating the virtuous and vicious portions of the economy depending on the direction of the curve.  Unfortunately, the actual cycle is not so smooth. 

 

Tags:
  • Business Cycle
  • Economics
  • Economy
  • Friday
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Zombie Inc.

Submitted by Atlas Indicators Investment Advisors on November 19th, 2020

Zombies are occasionally the subjects of fictional works.  These undead, horror-related characters are found in books, music videos, movies, and video games.  Often pathogens infect them, turning a once lively person into no more than an animated corporeal without other human essences.  Once an individual transitions, they may become a vector of the disease for which there is no

Tags:
  • COVID-19
  • Debt
  • Economy
  • Federal Reserve
  • Friday
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November 2019 Retail Sales

Submitted by Atlas Indicators Investment Advisors on January 5th, 2020

 

Retail sales improved in November 2019 according to the Census Bureau.  This 0.2 percent gain to $528.0 billion is on the heels of October’s upwardly revised uptick of 0.4 percent.  Versus a year ago, sales are up $17.1 billion or 3.3 percent. There was plenty of good news in the release, but as you’ll see later, one dark lining to this silver cloud.

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  • Economy
  • Retail Sales
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Third Quarter 2019 Revised Estimate of Gross Domestic Product

Submitted by Atlas Indicators Investment Advisors on December 12th, 2019

 

Tags:
  • BEA
  • Economic Cycle
  • Economy
  • GDP
  • Read more

September 2019 Retail Sales

Submitted by Atlas Indicators Investment Advisors on October 23rd, 2019

 

There wasn’t a lot to celebrate in the September 2019 Retail Sales release from the Census Bureau; however, Atlas will find a way to cheer it on later in this note.  But first we must deal with the negatives.  The headline is a good place to start as the overall statistic dropped 0.3 percent, giving back most of the prior period’s 0.4 percent gain.

Tags:
  • Census Bureau
  • Economy
  • Retail Sales
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​January 2019 Chicago Fed National Activity Index

Submitted by Atlas Indicators Investment Advisors on March 3rd, 2019

Economic growth slowed in January 2019 according to the latest data from the Chicago Fed National Activity Index (CFNAI).  This index of 85 components dipped to minus 0.43 from after hitting +0.05 in December 2018.  Since this indicator moves quite a bit each month, Atlas pay attention to the three-month moving average; it fell to 0.0 (a reading which indicates moderate growth) from 0

Tags:
  • CFNAI
  • Chicago Fed
  • Economy
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Where’s the Fulcrum?

Submitted by Atlas Indicators Investment Advisors on March 1st, 2019

 

Monetary policies executed by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) are designed to fulfill our central bank’s dual mandate: full-employment and price stability.  What the heck do those terms mean? 

 

Tags:
  • Economy
  • Fed Funds Rate
  • Federal Reserve
  • Interest Rates
  • Monetary Policy
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Pausing

Submitted by Atlas Indicators Investment Advisors on January 21st, 2019

Once again, our economy is causing more attention to be paid to the Federal Reserve than normal.  As Atlas has written (click here, here, and her

Tags:
  • Economy
  • Fed Funds Rate
  • Federal Reserve
  • Interest Rates
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Gross Domestic Product Advance Estimate First Quarter 2018

Submitted by Atlas Indicators Investment Advisors on May 8th, 2018

 

Tags:
  • BEA
  • Economy
  • GDP
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March 2018 Chicago Fed National Activity Index

Submitted by Atlas Indicators Investment Advisors on April 30th, 2018

 

After a strong uptick in February, the Chicago Fed National Activity Index took a bit of a breather in March 2018.  This indicator, which looks at 85 components, decelerated to +0.10 versus +0.98.  Adding to the tepid tone of the release, the three-month moving average slowed to +0.27 from +0.31 a month earlier. 

 

Tags:
  • CFNAI
  • Chicago Fed
  • Economy
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