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Annus Horribilis

Submitted by Atlas Indicators Investment Advisors on January 3rd, 2023

Superlatives are easy to use but difficult to defend, so Atlas won’t use one here.  We are willing, however, to use a technical phrase when describing 2022: it sucked.  Right out of the gate, the market peaked on the first trading day of the year and then trended lower for the remainder.  A similar pattern developed in the bond market.  Providing the other bookend for

Tags:
  • 2022
  • 2023
  • Business Cycle
  • Economics
  • New Year
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Net Energy Gain

Submitted by Atlas Indicators Investment Advisors on December 22nd, 2022

Energy is foundational to the global economy.  Wars have been waged over it.  Debates about changes to sources have soured many family dinners over the recent years.  When production gets expensive, that acts like a brake on overall output since there are few viable substitutes; a larger share of consumers’ wallets is diverted to keep lights on and cars running.  In sh

Tags:
  • Energy
  • Friday
  • Future
  • Read more

Winter Solstice

Submitted by Atlas Indicators Investment Advisors on December 22nd, 2022

We haven’t quite reached the shortest day of the year in the Northern Hemisphere, but we are getting close. It’s been nearly six months since the longest day of 2022 passed us. We don’t fret when the days begin shortening, nor trot out world-ending conspiracies once the nights become longer than the days immediately following the autumnal equinox. But why not?

Tags:
  • Business Cycle
  • Friday
  • Read more

Dire Straits

Submitted by Atlas Indicators Investment Advisors on December 22nd, 2022

Growing up I had many friends with musical talents. As an adult I partnered up with a musician to start Atlas. Those who were not around when Atlas was on Carnelian missed guitar jam sessions with J R.

Tags:
  • Business Cycle
  • Friday
  • Monetary Policy
  • Read more

Dark Friday

Submitted by Atlas Indicators Investment Advisors on December 22nd, 2022

Black Friday’s moniker is explained as the day when retailers go from being in the red for the year into positive earnings. Atlas won’t argue, but we cannot say for sure that this is still what happens. After your heart calms down from all the savings on Friday, you can hit Main Street America for Small Business Saturday. What a weekend. And then when you get bac

Tags:
  • Consumption
  • Federal Reserve
  • Monetary Policy
  • Money Supply
  • Read more

Bad to Better

Submitted by Atlas Indicators Investment Advisors on December 22nd, 2022

Trends never move in straight lines. This is certainly observable in markets. Styles experience the same phenomenon. Perhaps the kernel of a trend is revealed at a fashion show, but it takes the greater population a little time to embrace the new look. A similar pattern is emerging for the globe as it tries trending back to something more normal from the depths of the pandem

Tags:
  • Business Cycle
  • COVID-19
  • Friday
  • Read more

Holding Down Expectations

Submitted by Atlas Indicators Investment Advisors on November 6th, 2022

Every six weeks the Federal Reserve Open Market Committee meets to discuss monetary policies and to make any changes to it which they deem necessary.  Their latest two-day meeting ended last Wednesday with the 12-person committee unanimously voting to raise the overnight lending rate banks charge each other by 0.75 percentage points; the range for this type of loan now stands at 3.75 - 4.0

Tags:
  • Business Cycle
  • Fed Funds Rate
  • Federal Reserve
  • Inflation
  • Unemployment
  • Read more

Savings Gripe

Submitted by Atlas Indicators Investment Advisors on November 6th, 2022

Savings are going away.  A few days ago, regular readers were sent a note on income and outlays from the Bureau of Economic Analysis which includes data on the savings rate.  In the note, Atlas highlighted the dismal rate of savings (currently 3.1 percent).  It is understandable that households are less able to stash cash when inflation is rising while markets crash.  But ou

Tags:
  • Friday Fun
  • Savings Rate
  • Read more

The Sssssssurvey Sssssssaysssss

Submitted by Atlas Indicators Investment Advisors on October 31st, 2022

Family Feud is a gameshow which started in 1976 and aired through 1985.  After a few years hiatus, it returned in 1988, only to end again in 1995.  Then as the last century came to a close, it managed to make another comeback, one which has lasted through today.  It pits two families against each other, competing to determine answers to survey questions previously asked to a grou

Tags:
  • Debt
  • Federal Budget
  • Federal Reserve
  • Friday
  • Read more

Stuck

Submitted by Atlas Indicators Investment Advisors on October 20th, 2022

There are many sticking points in the American economy these days.  Inflation comes to mind.  So does our Federal Reserve.  Or what about the growth rate of the economy?  It’s not quite molasses-like just yet, but the pace of output is gaining viscosity.

 

Tags:
  • Business Cycle
  • Federal Reserve
  • Friday
  • Inflation
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Investment Advisory Services offered through Independent Advisor Representatives of Cooper McManus, a Registered Investment Adviser Securities offered through Registered Representatives of Cambridge Investment Research, Inc., a broker-dealer, member FINRA/SIPC, to residents of: CA, HI, LA, MA, MT, OR, PA, and TX. Cambridge and Atlas Indicators Investment Advisors, Inc. are not affiliated.​

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  1. Asset Allocation: Diversification seeks to reduce the volatility of a portfolio by investing in a variety of asset classes. Neither asset allocation nor diversification guarantee against market loss or greater or more consistent returns. Asset allocation does not guarantee a profit or protection from losses in a declining market. 

  2. Precious Metals: Investments in precious metals such as gold involve risk. Investments in precious metals are not suitable to everyone and may involve loss of your entire investment. These investments are subject to sudden price fluctuation, possible insolvency of the trading exchange and potential losses of more than your original investment when using leverage. 

  3. Real Estate: Specific-sector investing such as real estate can be subject to different and greater risks than more diversified investments. Declines in the value of real estate, economic conditions, property taxes, tax laws, and interest rates all present potential risks to real estate investments. 

  4. Diversification: Diversification seeks to reduce the volatility of a portfolio by investing in a variety of asset classes. Neither asset allocation nor diversification guarantee against market loss or greater or more consistent returns. 

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