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Sells Smells

Submitted by Atlas Indicators Investment Advisors on September 18th, 2024

The scent of a Crayola crayon is as iconic as the vibrant masterpieces they create, hung with care using magnets and refrigerator doors.  Atlas President Emeritus, J R Capps, sent me an article about the colorful sticks, and I could immediately sense that unique smell.  It was like a time machine transported me back to a more carefree age when the biggest concern was staying within th

Tags:
  • Friday
  • Friday Fun
  • J R
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Refining Revisionist History

Submitted by Atlas Indicators Investment Advisors on August 31st, 2024

Last week in this space Atlas noted the dramatic revisions to employment figures originally published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).  Click here to revisit it.

Tags:
  • Bureau of Labor Statistics
  • Employment
  • Federal Reserve
  • Friday
  • Revisions
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Revisionist History

Submitted by Atlas Indicators Investment Advisors on August 27th, 2024

Our nation is in the midst of history.  We are under 80 days from the next election, including that of the future President of the United States.  Campaigns are in full swing, and so is story telling.  History is being told with a bit of revisionist flair, not unlike prior campaigns filled with promises and less-than-accurate recollections of earlier accomplishments.

Tags:
  • Bureau of Labor Statistics
  • Employment
  • Friday
  • Friday Fun
  • Labor Market
  • Revisions
  • Unemployment
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Big Mac Index

Submitted by Atlas Indicators Investment Advisors on August 27th, 2024

Purchasing-power parity is like a special calculator that helps economists compare different countries' currencies based on how much stuff you can buy with them.  Imagine you have a $10 bill, and you want to buy some candy. In the United States, that $10 might get you 10 candy bars.

Tags:
  • Big Mac Index
  • Friday
  • Friday Fun
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Forecasting Fog

Submitted by Atlas Indicators Investment Advisors on August 27th, 2024

Economic indicators give a sense of an economy’s present state.  But even coincident indicators offer only a model of reality.  Enter forward-looking indicators.  These are measures which have historically given a glimpse into things to come. If you think quantifying the current state of an economy is difficult, predicting its future is much more so.

 

Tags:
  • Friday
  • Indicators
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Landings

Submitted by Atlas Indicators Investment Advisors on August 27th, 2024

Olympic events always have favored athletes, but the contests must be completed to know who really was the best at a particular moment.  Lots of money is on the line, especially in America.  To win often means a life of more publicity and even marketing deals.  For surprise winners, they’re happy to have the opportunity to prove themselves.  The Olympics would be borin

Tags:
  • Federal Reserve
  • Friday
  • Friday Fun
  • Olympics
  • Soft Landing
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Control

Submitted by Atlas Indicators Investment Advisors on August 27th, 2024

The notion of control is a comforting illusion.  The chaos of reality can feel overwhelming at times, so draping a veil over it can create the semblance of order.  Instead, the best we can all likely hope for is influence over outcome but rarely if ever full control.  Economics is a perfect example of this lack of control.  There is no single puppeteer masterfully choregraph

Tags:
  • Friday
  • Friday Fun
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Repo Man

Submitted by Atlas Indicators Investment Advisors on August 27th, 2024

Americans push limits. It is an integral piece of our nation’s DNA and arguably part of what makes our nation exceptional.  Unfortunately, not all limit-pushing is good. Perhaps this note pushes a certain limit, and its result is less than pleasing (you be the judge), but let’s try anyway.

 

Tags:
  • Credit
  • Friday
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I’m Fine. This Time is Different.

Submitted by Atlas Indicators Investment Advisors on July 14th, 2024

Have you ever had someone say to you, “I’m fine” and not really believe that was the case?  If we were in a room, you’d see my hand go up.  You can often tell by the person’s tone or look that it may not be true. 

 

Tags:
  • Economics
  • Friday Fun
  • Inverted Yield Curve
  • Yield Curve
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Fireworks Friday

Submitted by Atlas Indicators Investment Advisors on July 14th, 2024

As the Fourth of July approached, America’s sky prepared to display vividly colored fireworks in rhythmic fashion, a spectacle that reminds one of the ebbs and flows of our economy.  Just as fireworks launch into the night, so too does our economic activity, bursting with energy and brightness during periods of prosperity.

Tags:
  • Fourth of July
  • Friday Fun
  • Inflation
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